Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle,
with Kai Carstensen, Markus Heinrich and Magnus Reif, May 2017.
How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates,
Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?
with Nils Jannsen and Galina Potjagailo, August 2015.
The macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation in dynamic general equilibrium,
with Tim Schwarzmüller, May 2015.